On the 1st January 2006 I made ten predictions about the coming year. Now that we have reached the end of the year then it’s time to see how I did.
Prediction number 1: There will be bad publicity for Mr D. Tennant for some un-Doctor like behaviour.
Actuality: Nothing too bad really – though a current rumour is bad news, depending on your viewpoint.
Accuracy of prediction: Somewhere off-planet
Prediction number 2: The US will be confronted unpleasantly with the realities of global warming.
Actuality: Not a lot strong contenders for this one but there appears to be a growing acceptance stateside that global warming is a reality. Perhaps one of the most significant official moves, which seems to imply governmental acceptance of the effects of climate change, is the recent proposed listing of polar bears as a threatened species because of declining Arctic ice levels.
Accuracy of prediction: Lukewarm
Prediction number 3: There will be a royal scandal.
Actuality: In August it was reported that the Royal Voicemail had been illegitimately accessed by tabloid journalists. Apparently, the technique used is quite widely known and most people do not protect their voicemail boxes and are thus vulnerable to this form of hacking. Oh what fun awaits.
Accuracy of prediction: Royal flush
Prediction number 4: July will be very hot in the UK.
Actuality: UK July temperatures were at a record high; a 95 year record was broken on the 19th July with a reading of 36.5Â°c at Wisley.
Accuracy of prediction: Sizzling
Prediction number 5: A famous animal will expire.
Actuality: Desert Orchid carked it in November. This is the first obituary I’ve ever seen for a horse.
Accuracy of prediction: Evens
Prediction number 6: A member of Take That will suffer from ‘exhaustion’.
Actuality: If only I had used ‘former’ as my second word then I’d have been spot on with this one.
Accuracy of prediction: I was Robbied
Prediction number 7: Tony Blair will still be prime minister in December.
Actuality: It all looked a bit shaky from early in the year, culminating in an autumnal near-meltdown. However, there was life in the old dog and not a dry seat in the house when he gave his ‘farewell speech’ to the Labour Conference in September. This has to be one of the longest farewells in history as he’s still here – or rather he’s sunning himself in Miami. [ Bastard ].
Accuracy of prediction: Number 10 out of 10
Prediction number 8: Something really exciting and positive will happen to me.
Actuality: Well, it’s been a pretty good year. When I wrote this particular prediction, though, I was envisaging something unexpected. Sadly, I can’t think of a single thing that would fit this description. Ah well, maybe next year.
Accuracy of prediction: Nul pwan.
Prediction number 9: An unexpected happening of national note will occur on the South Coast of England.
Actuality: I’ve struggled with this one. The biggest story I could find, if I’m being strictly coastal, is the closure of Hastings Pier in East Sussex after it was deemed to be unsafe by the borough council. [ Contain yourselves ]
However, five miles from the Sussex coast lies the town of Lewes and earlier this month there was a massive explosion at a fireworks factory which definitely did hit the headlines.
Accuracy of prediction: Almost explosive
Prediction number 10: Shayne X Factor will join Gareth, Michelle and Steve in the Simon Cowell Secure Wheely Bin For Discarded Things That Make No Money.
Actuality: According to Shayne’s website, “2006 has been an absolutely phenomenal year for Shayne. After celebrating a record breaking Christmas no 1 last year, he has gone on to achieve global success with his chart topping debut album and huge concerts around the world.”
Shayne’s tour ends in Feb ‘07 and he’s due to produce a new album sometime during the year. Looks like I’ve been a bit premature about this one. [ Story of my life ].
Accuracy of prediction: factor Z
So I got about 50% correct, which is not bad in my view.
How did you do?
I also invited readers to make their own predictions and received 35 additional predictions including,
“England will do remarkably well at the World Cup and the nation and its expats shall experience Svenitus.”
“BBC and ITV will do the honourable thing and cancel Strictly Come Dancing and X-Factor respectively.”
“Prince Phillip will die and the Queen may abdicate.”
So now’s the time to evaluate your own predictions – were you right?